EPE publishes February 2025 Brazil’s Short-Term Fuel Market Outlook

Brazilian liquid fuel demand will keep growing in 2025. EPE forecasts an increment of 1.4%, or 2.2 billion liters, for 2025, and 1.9%, or 3.0 billion liters, for 2026.

Economic growth, positive industry results, a record number of employed people, income transfer policies and government programs, with emphasis on the New Growth Acceleration Program (Novo PAC), should contribute to growth throughout both 2025 and 2026.

Otto cycle fuels consumption remained at elevated levels, with the share of ethanol (anhydrous and hydrous) at the level of 47% in 2024. The prospects for the 2025/26 sugarcane harvest are favorable, and the consistent growth of corn ethanol supports the supply of this biofuel. It is estimated that the demand will continue to grow.

In the aviation sector, since April 2024, jet fuel consumption has remained above pre-pandemic levels recorded in 2019.

LPG consumption continues to grow, partly encouraged by lower prices compared to the previous year and by social programs transfers.

Click here and read the February 2025 edition.

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